Game Details:
Matchup: Warriors vs Timberwolves
Date & Time: Wednesday, May 14, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Betting Line: Timberwolves -3.5 | Over/Under: 226.5

Key Storylines

Playoff Implications Ramp Up the Intensity

With both teams entrenched in the Western Conference playoff picture, tonight’s game between the Warriors and Timberwolves carries important seeding implications. Minnesota is fighting to secure home-court advantage in the first round, while Golden State is seeking momentum after a rocky stretch to close out the regular season.

Warriors Struggling on the Road

Golden State has posted an underwhelming 15-25 record away from Chase Center this season, and their inconsistent defense remains a concern. Despite solid performances from Steph Curry and improved bench production, the team continues to struggle against top-tier competition on the road.

Timberwolves’ Dominance at Home

Minnesota, on the other hand, is one of the tougher teams to beat at the Target Center, boasting a stellar 28-12 home record. Led by Anthony Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns, the Wolves have found their rhythm on both ends of the floor since the All-Star break.

Injury Report

Golden State Warriors:
Out: Gary Payton II (hamstring), Andrew Wiggins (ankle)
Questionable: Draymond Green (back spasms)

Minnesota Timberwolves:
Out: Jaden McDaniels (hip)
Probable: Rudy Gobert (ankle), Mike Conley (rest)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Warriors: 31-39-2 ATS this season
Timberwolves: 43-29 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 36 of Golden State’s 72 games
The total has gone under in 40 of Minnesota’s 72 games

Golden State games tend to be higher-scoring, especially when playing from behind on the road. Minnesota, on the other hand, has leaned into a defense-first identity this season, keeping several games below the total.

Player Props to Watch

Steph Curry (Warriors) – Points Total: 28.5
Curry remains the focal point of the offense, and with Wiggins out, he may need to take an even larger share of the scoring load. The over looks appealing if Green plays and helps facilitate the offense.

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) – Points + Assists: 31.5
Edwards has been red-hot lately, averaging 27.6 points and 5.4 assists over his last 10 games. Against Golden State’s suspect perimeter defense, he could thrive once again.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Timberwolves -3.5 → Minnesota’s defensive consistency and home-court prowess give them the edge.

Total: Under 226.5 → Expect a grind-it-out playoff-style atmosphere with both teams dialing up the defensive intensity.

Player Prop: Anthony Edwards Over 31.5 Points + Assists → He’s the engine of Timberwolves offense and will have favorable matchups vs. Golden State’s wing defenders.

While Golden State could always catch fire behind Curry’s shooting, the Timberwolves’ disciplined execution and home advantage should carry them to a close but clear win.

Final Score Prediction: Timberwolves 112, Warriors 107