Game Details:
Matchup: Warriors (45-35) vs. Trail Blazers (21-59)
Date & Time: Friday, April 11, 2025 | 10:00 PM ET
Venue: Moda Center, Portland, OR
Betting Line: Warriors -12.5 | Over/Under: 223.5

Key Storylines

Playoff Implications for Warriors

The Warriors are locked in a battle for seeding in the Western Conference. Sitting at 45-35, winning these final regular-season games is critical to avoid the Play-In Tournament. Facing a struggling Trail Blazers squad, this matchup presents a prime opportunity to build momentum heading into the postseason.

Blazers Eyeing the Offseason

At 21-59, Portland’s season is all but over as they look toward draft positioning and player development. Despite the team’s struggles, the Blazers have seen flashes of talent from their younger core, which could play inspired basketball with nothing to lose.

Road-Heavy Warriors Riding Hot Streak

Golden State comes into tonight’s matchup on a four-game win streak and has been surprisingly effective on the road this season (24-16). With Steph Curry and Klay Thompson healthy, this is a team no one wants to face in late April.

Injury Report

Warriors:
Out: Gary Payton II (hamstring), Dario Saric (illness)
Questionable: Jonathan Kuminga (knee)

Trail Blazers:
Out: Jerami Grant (quad), Anfernee Simons (knee), Robert Williams III (knee), Shaedon Sharpe (abdominal)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Warriors: 39-39-2 ATS this season
Trail Blazers: 30-48-2 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 6 of the Warriors’ last 8 road games
The total has gone under in 5 of the Trail Blazers’ last 7 games

Warriors Dominate Series:
Golden State has won 6 straight matchups against Portland, including a 126-106 blowout earlier this season.

Player Prop to Watch

Stephen Curry – Points Total: 27.5
Curry has averaged 29.3 PPG in April and could find plenty of open looks against one of the league’s worst defenses. With the Blazers missing key perimeter defenders, the over on Curry’s points prop is worth a strong look.

Keon Johnson – Assists Total: 4.5
With injuries decimating Portland’s backcourt, Johnson has stepped up as a playmaker. If the game stays remotely close, he’ll get plenty of touches.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Warriors -12.5 → The motivation gap is enormous. Golden State is fighting for playoff positioning, while Portland is just trying to make it through the finish line. The Warriors have outrebounded and outshot the Trail Blazers in their recent meetings.

Total: Over 223.5 → Even if Golden State builds a big lead, Portland’s youth may keep the pace high and push the total over late.

Player Prop: Steph Curry Over 27.5 points → With Portland’s lack of defensive resistance on the perimeter, Curry could cruise past 30.

Expect Golden State to jump out early and coast to a comfortable victory, keeping their playoff hopes in focus while Portland looks ahead to the lottery.

Final Score Prediction: Warriors 121, Trail Blazers 105