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Uncovering the Value of Underdogs: Why Betting on NFL Underdogs Can Pay Off Big

by | Apr 20, 2023

Betting on underdogs in the National Football League (NFL) can be a profitable strategy for sports bettors. While most bettors tend to focus on favorites, underdogs can provide a higher payout and often have a better chance of winning than the odds suggest. In this article, we will explore why betting on underdogs in the NFL can be a smart strategy and provide some examples of big underdogs winning in NFL games.

One reason why betting on underdogs can be a smart strategy in the NFL is that the league is known for its parity. While some teams may be more talented than others, any team can win on any given day. This means that even if a team is listed as an underdog, they can still pull off a surprise victory.

Another reason to consider betting on underdogs is that the odds often overestimate the chances of the favorites. Similar to college football, favorites are usually expected to win by a certain margin, and the odds reflect this expectation. However, this can lead to inflated odds for underdogs, creating an opportunity for a higher payout.

Examples of NFL Underdog Bets That Paid Off Big

Let’s take a look at some examples of big underdogs winning in NFL games. On December 22, 2019, the Arizona Cardinals faced the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks were heavily favored to win, with odds of -9.5. The Cardinals, on the other hand, were listed as underdogs at +375 odds. This means that if you had bet $100 on the Cardinals to win, you would have earned a payout of $475. In a surprising upset, the Cardinals won the game 27-13, providing a big payout for those who had bet on the underdog.

Another example of a big underdog winning in the NFL occurred on September 23, 2018, when the Buffalo Bills faced the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings were favored to win by a whopping 17 points, with odds of -1000. The Bills, on the other hand, were listed as underdogs at +650 odds. This means that if you had bet $100 on the Bills to win, you would have earned a payout of $750. In a shocking upset, the Bills won the game 27-6, providing a massive payout for those who had bet on the underdog.

One more example of a big underdog winning in the NFL is the famous “Miracle on Ice” game between the New York Giants and the undefeated New England Patriots in Super Bowl XLII. The Patriots were favored to win by 12.5 points, with odds of -600. The Giants, on the other hand, were listed as underdogs at +350 odds. This means that if you had bet $100 on the Giants to win, you would have earned a payout of $450. In a thrilling upset, the Giants won the game 17-14, providing a huge payout for those who had bet on the underdog.

Of course, not every underdog wins, and it’s important to do your research before placing a bet. One strategy is to look for underdogs that have been performing well recently or have a particular advantage in the matchup. For example, a team with a strong defense could be a good bet even if they are facing a stronger overall team. The Vegas Mistake betting system is a great way to profit from incorrect lines.

In conclusion, betting on underdogs in the NFL can be a smart strategy for those willing to take a risk. The parity in the league means that any team can win on any given day, and the odds often overestimate the chances of the favorites. By doing your research and looking for underdogs that have a particular advantage or are performing well, you can increase your chances of making a profitable bet. With the right strategy, betting on underdogs in the NFL can be a profitable and exciting way to enjoy the sport.

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