Game Details:
Matchup: FIU vs UTSA
Date & Time: Thursday, December 25, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
Betting Line: UTSA -10.5 | Over/Under: 52.5
Key Storylines
UTSA’s Bowl Aspirations
UTSA heads into tonight’s Christmas Day clash riding high after winning four of their last five games. At 8-4, they’re bowl-eligible for the fourth consecutive season and will be looking to lock in momentum ahead of their postseason matchup. Quarterback Owen McCown has been efficient, completing 67% of his passes with a 16:3 touchdown-to-interception ratio this season.
Struggling FIU Looks to Play Spoiler
It’s been a tough campaign for FIU, who comes into this matchup with a 4-8 record and riding a three-game losing streak. Their offense has sputtered at times, averaging just 19.7 points per game, compared to UTSA’s 31.1. However, rivalry games late in the year have a history of surprises, and FIU would love nothing more than to close out their season with an upset win over the Roadrunners.
Road Struggles for FIU
FIU has found life away from home difficult, posting a 1-5 record on the road this season. That stat bodes well for a dominant UTSA team that is 5-1 at the Alamodome in 2025, averaging over 35 points per game in front of their home crowd.
Injury Report
FIU:
Out: RB Kejon Owens (ankle), WR Dean Patterson (shoulder)
Questionable: QB Keyone Jenkins (hamstring)
UTSA:
Out: LB Trey Moore (knee), S Rashad Wisdom (concussion)
Questionable: RB Kevorian Barnes (ankle)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
- FIU: 4-8 ATS this season
- UTSA: 7-5 ATS this season
Over/Under Trends:
- The total has gone over in 7 of UTSA’s 12 games.
- The total has gone under in 6 of FIU’s last 9 games.
Player Prop to Watch
Owen McCown (UTSA) – Passing Yards Total: 265.5
With FIU giving up an average of 247 passing yards per game, McCown could easily surpass this number in what is expected to be a high-volume passing outing.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: UTSA -10.5 → Given FIU’s poor road performances and lack of offensive firepower, UTSA covering the double-digit spread is a solid play.
Total: Under 52.5 → FIU’s inability to consistently score might keep the game below the total, even if UTSA has an efficient night.
Player Prop: Owen McCown Over 265.5 passing yards → With key UTSA weapons healthy, expect a strong air attack.
FIU’s season likely ends with another road loss, while UTSA should cruise into bowl season with a convincing win. Look for McCown and the Roadrunners’ offense to control the tempo and pull away early.
Final Score Prediction: UTSA 34, FIU 17