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Warriors vs Grizzlies Betting Preview & Prediction | VegasMistake

Apr 15, 2025

Game Details:
Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Warriors
Date & Time: Tuesday, April 15, 2025 | 10:00 PM ET
Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Betting Line: Warriors -9.5 | Over/Under: 218.5

Key Storylines

Warriors Looking to Lock in Playoff Seeding

The Warriors enter tonight’s matchup in the thick of the Western Conference playoff battle. Sitting around 7th place, they need every win to avoid the play-in tournament. With a 25-14 home record, Golden State knows the importance of defending its home court down the stretch.

Grizzlies Just Trying to Finish Strong

It’s been a brutal year for the Grizzlies, who have been decimated by injuries. Already eliminated from playoff contention, Memphis is evaluating young talent and playing spoiler in these final weeks. While they’ve shown flashes, consistency has been a major issue.

Season Series: Warriors Lead 2-1

Golden State has taken two of three games from Memphis this season, including a dominant 131-110 victory in their last meeting on March 22. The Warriors’ offensive depth and high-paced play have overwhelmed the injured Grizzlies throughout the season.

Injury Report

Grizzlies:
Out: Ja Morant (shoulder), Desmond Bane (ankle), Marcus Smart (finger), Brandon Clarke (Achilles), Steven Adams (knee)
Questionable: Vince Williams Jr. (knee)

Warriors:
Probable: Stephen Curry (hip soreness), Draymond Green (rest)
Out: Gary Payton II (hamstring)

Betting Trends

  • Grizzlies: 29-43 ATS this season, but strangely better as road underdogs (16-11 ATS)
  • Warriors: 36-33-3 ATS on the year, solid 20-17-2 ATS at home
  • The total has gone under in 8 of the last 10 Grizzlies games
  • The total has gone under in 5 of Golden State’s last 7 home contests

Player Prop to Watch

Klay Thompson – Points Total: 18.5
Thompson poured in 28 points in their last meeting with Memphis, hitting six threes. With Curry potentially limited, Klay should see increased looks. The over on his points prop looks promising.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Warriors -9.5 → Memphis just doesn’t have the firepower with so many key players out. Golden State, with playoff motivation, should cover easily.

Total: Under 218.5 → Memphis struggles to score and the Warriors’ defense typically tightens at home. Look for a lower-paced game.

Player Prop: Klay Thompson Over 18.5 points → Greater usage with Curry possibly limited, and he torched Memphis last game.

Even with Curry not at 100%, this is a spot where the Warriors should roll. The Grizzlies don’t have enough offensive threats, and their defense can’t contain Golden State’s movement and shooting. Expect the Warriors to put this one away with ease and continue their push up the Western standings.

Final Score Prediction: Warriors 116, Grizzlies 98

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