Game Details:
Matchup: Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors
Date & Time: Monday, April 28, 2025 | 10:00 PM ET
Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, California
Betting Line: Warriors -4.5 | Over/Under: 226.5

Key Storylines

Must-Win Territory for Warriors: Golden State is clinging to the final play-in spot in the Western Conference and tonight’s game is crucial to solidifying their postseason hopes.

Rockets’ Road Woes: Houston has struggled away from home all season, posting a 10-28 road record. Facing a desperate Warriors squad at Chase Center spells trouble.

Recent Meeting Refresh: Golden State took the last matchup between these two teams in convincing fashion, winning 118-102 behind Stephen Curry’s 32-point outing.

Injury Report

Houston Rockets:
Out: Tari Eason (lower leg), Fred VanVleet (hip)
Questionable: Dillon Brooks (elbow)

Golden State Warriors:
Out: Andrew Wiggins (ankle)
Questionable: Draymond Green (back spasms)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Rockets: 34-42 ATS this season
Warriors: 37-38-1 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 35 of Houston’s 76 games.
The total has gone over in 38 of Golden State’s 76 games.

Warriors at Home: Golden State is 21-17 at Chase Center this season, while Houston’s road struggles suggest a serious advantage for the home team.

Player Prop to Watch

Stephen Curry (Warriors) – Points Total: 28.5
With Wiggins out and Green questionable, expect Curry to shoulder even more of the offensive load. He’s averaging 30.2 points per game in his last five outings.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Warriors -4.5 → Golden State’s playoff urgency combined with Houston’s road struggles points to Warriors covering the spread at home.

Total: Over 226.5 → Both teams have leaned towards the over lately, and with explosive scorers like Curry and Jalen Green on the floor, a high-scoring affair is likely.

Player Prop: Stephen Curry Over 28.5 Points → Expect a big night from Curry, especially if Draymond Green sits out.

Final Score Prediction: Warriors 119, Rockets 109