Game Details:
Matchup: Rockets vs Warriors
Date & Time: Friday, May 2, 2025 | 10:00 PM ET
Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Betting Line: Warriors -5.5 | Over/Under: 228.5

Key Storylines

Red-Hot Warriors at Home: Golden State has won eight of their last ten games and remains one of the league’s toughest teams at home, boasting a 27-11 record at Chase Center this season. Their recent offensive surge—led by Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson—has them trending upwards heading into May.

Rockets Youth Movement: Houston continues to rely heavily on its young core of Jalen Green, Alperen Sengun, and Jabari Smith Jr. While the team is clearly building toward the future, they’ve pulled off a few impressive wins this season against playoff-bound teams. However, their road record (10-25) suggests a tough challenge ahead in San Francisco.

Season Series: The Warriors lead the season series 2-1 after a dominant 122-106 win in their last meeting. Houston will look to even things up and break their losing skid at the Chase Center.

Injury Report

Rockets:
Out: Dillon Brooks (groin), Tari Eason (leg)
Questionable: Fred VanVleet (hip soreness)

Warriors:
Out: Gary Payton II (calf), Moses Moody (ankle)
Probable: Andrew Wiggins (knee soreness)

Betting Trends

• Against the Spread (ATS):
  Rockets: 30-36 ATS
  Warriors: 38-28 ATS
• Over/Under Trends:
  The total has gone over in 35 of Houston’s 66 games
  The total has gone over in 37 of Golden State’s 66 games
• Head-to-Head: Warriors are 7-3 SU in their last 10 versus the Rockets

Player Props to Watch

Stephen Curry (Warriors) – Points Total: 27.5
Curry loves the Rockets matchup and scored 30+ in two of their meetings this season. The over looks promising here, especially at home.

Jalen Green (Rockets) – Points Total: 22.5
With VanVleet questionable, Green’s usage could spike. He scored 24 in their last meeting vs Golden State.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Warriors -5.5 → Golden State’s home-court advantage and recent form should carry them to a cover.

Total: Over 228.5 → Both teams rank in the top half in pace; expect an up-tempo game with a lot of perimeter shooting.

Player Prop: Stephen Curry Over 27.5 points → Reliable scoring option who excels in home matchups.

The Warriors’ mix of championship experience and offensive firepower should be too much for the young Rockets to handle. Houston could keep it close early, but expect Golden State to pull away late, covering the spread in another statement home win.

Final Score Prediction: Warriors 119, Rockets 109