Game Details:
Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Warriors
Date & Time: Saturday, May 10, 2025 | 10:00 PM ET
Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Betting Line: Warriors -3.5 | Over/Under: 226.5

Key Storylines

Playoff Positioning at Stake

Both teams are jockeying for playoff seeding in the tightly contested Western Conference. The Warriors currently sit just above the play-in line, while the Timberwolves are looking to secure a top-six finish. Tonight’s outcome could have major postseason implications.

Momentum Shift

The Timberwolves are coming off a strong week, winning four of their last five games behind dominant two-way play from Anthony Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns. Meanwhile, the Warriors have hit a rough patch, dropping three of their last four despite Steph Curry’s heroic efforts.

Tension from Previous Matchups

This is the fourth and final meeting of the regular season between the two teams. Golden State has the upper hand with a 2-1 series lead, including a dramatic overtime win back in February. Minnesota will be out for revenge and to split the series.

Injury Report

Timberwolves:
Out: Kyle Anderson (hip)
Questionable: Jaden McDaniels (ankle)

Warriors:
Out: Andrew Wiggins (elbow), Gary Payton II (illness)
Probable: Draymond Green (back), Klay Thompson (knee)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

Timberwolves: 38-31 ATS
Warriors: 35-34 ATS

Over/Under Trends:

The total has gone over in 36 of Timberwolves’ 69 games
The total has gone over in 39 of Warriors’ 69 games

Warriors at Home:

Golden State holds a 21-14 record at Chase Center this season, with a high-scoring average of 117.9 points. However, defensive lapses have hurt them late in games.

Timberwolves on the Road:

Minnesota boasts an impressive 20-15 road record, with one of the league’s top-rated defenses in away games. Their balanced offense is peaking at the right time.

Player Prop to Watch

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) – Points Total: 24.5
Edwards has averaged 27.3 points over his last six games and will be facing a Warriors squad that has struggled to contain explosive guards.

Steph Curry (Warriors) – Three-Pointers Made: 4.5
Curry has hit 5+ threes in three of his last four games. Minnesota defends the arc well, but Curry’s volume keeps this prop intriguing.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Timberwolves +3.5 → Minnesota’s superior defense and form on the road could push them to an outright win or at least a close finish.

Total: Over 226.5 → Both teams have been cashing overs recently, and with both star backcourts in form, expect a shootout.

Player Prop: Anthony Edwards Over 24.5 Points → He’s been on a tear and will be the focal point of Minnesota’s offense.

Golden State’s home-court edge might give them the early momentum, but Minnesota’s gritty road play and playoff-level defense could silence the crowd late. Expect a tight contest with Edwards and Towns leading the charge.

Final Score Prediction: Timberwolves 117, Warriors 114