Game Details:
Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Warriors
Date & Time: Monday, May 12, 2025 | 10:00 PM ET
Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Betting Line: Warriors -2.5 | Over/Under: 226.5

Key Storylines

Western Conference Tug-of-War

Both teams are battling for playoff positioning in the tight Western Conference, making tonight’s game pivotal. The Timberwolves have been one of the season’s surprises, while the Warriors are trying to reclaim their dynasty aura, especially at home where they are always dangerous.

Last Meeting Results

In their last head-to-head, the Timberwolves edged out a 112-109 victory in Minnesota back in March, thanks to Anthony Edwards’ 28-point showing. Tonight, the Warriors will aim for payback in their home arena, where they’ve won 9 of their last 11 games.

Warriors Heating Up at Home

The Warriors have quietly found a late-season groove, with a 7-3 record over their past 10 games. Stephen Curry continues to be the engine, averaging 26.4 points per game since the All-Star break. Golden State’s depth and experience could be a crucial differentiator in a pressure-packed matchup.

Timberwolves’ Road Threat

Minnesota has proven they can win on the road, boasting a top-10 road record. Their defensive anchor, Rudy Gobert, has been in excellent form, and his interior presence will be critical against the Warriors’ perimeter-focused offense.

Injury Report

Timberwolves:
Out: Jaylen Clark (Achilles)
Questionable: Karl-Anthony Towns (knee soreness)

Warriors:
Out: Gary Payton II (hamstring)
Questionable: Andrew Wiggins (ankle), Jonathan Kuminga (hip)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):
Timberwolves: 38-30 ATS
Warriors: 36-31 ATS

Over/Under Trends:
Total has gone under in 5 of Minnesota’s last 7 games
Total has gone over in 6 of Golden State’s last 9 games

Home-Court Advantage Could Be the Edge

The Warriors are 24-14 at home this season and thrive in front of the Chase Center crowd. However, the Timberwolves’ road grit, paired with a top-five defense, makes this a close-call game with playoff-level intensity.

Player Props to Watch

Stephen Curry (Warriors) – Points Total: 27.5
He’s been red-hot at home and will look to make a statement as the postseason nears. Consider the over if Wiggins remains out.

Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) – Rebounds + Assists Total: 9.5
Edwards has been filling the stat sheet and often rises to the occasion in key games. This prop offers solid value.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Warriors -2.5 → Golden State has enough firepower at home to squeak out a win, especially if Towns is limited.
Total: Under 226.5 → Expect playoff-like defensive intensity from both sides.
Player Prop: Curry Over 27.5 points → He loves the big stage, and this one feels like a spotlight moment.

With postseason implications on the line, expect a competitive, hard-fought battle. The Warriors’ veteran savvy and home rhythm give them a slight edge late.

Final Score Prediction: Warriors 113, Timberwolves 108