Game Details:

Matchup: Washington Wizards vs. Denver Nuggets

Date & Time: Saturday, March 15, 2025 | 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Betting Line: Nuggets -12.5 | Over/Under: 235.5

Key Storylines

Can Washington Compete Against Denver’s Dominance?

The Wizards face a steep challenge heading into Denver, where the Nuggets boast one of the best home records in the NBA. With Nikola Jokić leading the charge, Denver has been a powerhouse at Ball Arena, making Washington heavy underdogs.

Wizards’ Defensive Woes

Washington continues to struggle defensively, allowing one of the highest opponent field goal percentages in the league. This spells trouble against a Denver squad that ranks top five in offensive efficiency.

Jokić’s MVP Push

Nikola Jokić remains a frontrunner in the MVP race, averaging near triple-double numbers on the season. Against a weak Wizards defense, he’s primed for another dominant performance.

Injury Report

Washington Wizards:

• Out: Deni Avdija (ankle), Richaun Holmes (knee)
• Questionable: Jordan Poole (illness)

Denver Nuggets:

• Out: Vlatko Čančar (knee)
• Probable: Jamal Murray (hamstring)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

• Wizards: 25-36 ATS this season
• Nuggets: 38-24 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

• The total has gone over in 34 of Washington’s 61 games.
• The total has gone under in 31 of Denver’s 62 games.

Home/Road Splits:

• Washington is 6-27 in away games this season.
• Denver boasts a strong 27-5 record at home.

Player Prop to Watch

Nikola Jokić (Nuggets) – Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA) Total: 47.5

Jokić has been stellar this season, and the Wizards’ poor defense offers a golden opportunity to hit the over on his PRA total.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Denver -12.5 → The Nuggets should dominate on their home floor.

Total: Under 235.5 → Denver’s defense could hold Washington below their scoring averages.

Player Prop: Nikola Jokić Over 47.5 PRA → Expect a stat-stuffing night from the two-time MVP.

The Nuggets are simply too strong at home, while Washington’s defensive struggles make it hard to envision an upset. Expect Denver to control the game from start to finish.

Final Score Prediction: Nuggets 120, Wizards 102