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Wizards vs Pacers Betting Preview & Prediction | VegasMistake

Mar 27, 2025

Game Details:

Matchup: Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers

Date & Time: Thursday, March 27, 2025 | 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.

Betting Line: Pacers -4.5 | Over/Under: 234.5

Key Storylines

Pacers Pushing for Playoff Positioning

Indiana continues to battle for positioning in the Eastern Conference playoff race with the regular season winding down. The Pacers have won four of their last six games, and they’ll be eager to secure another victory against a struggling Wizards squad.

Wizards’ Defensive Woes

Washington enters this game with one of the league’s worst defenses, allowing an average of 120.2 points per game. Slowing down the high-powered Pacers offense, led by Tyrese Haliburton, will be a challenging task.

Season Series Dominance

The Pacers have controlled the season series so far, winning both prior matchups with ease. They’ll look to complete the sweep and further solidify their spot in the playoff race.

Injury Report

Washington Wizards:
Out: Deni Avdija (ankle), Richaun Holmes (knee)
Questionable: Corey Kispert (hamstring)

Indiana Pacers:
Out: Bennedict Mathurin (shoulder)
Questionable: Jalen Smith (ankle)

Betting Trends

Against the Spread (ATS):

Wizards: 25-38 ATS this season
Pacers: 37-26 ATS this season

Over/Under Trends:

The total has gone over in 35 of Indiana’s 63 games.
The total has gone over in 32 of Washington’s 63 games.

Wizards’ Home Struggles:

Washington is just 9-28 at home this season, while the Pacers have been a respectable 18-15 on the road.

Player Prop to Watch

Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) – Assists Total: 10.5
Haliburton has been an assist machine all season, and against Washington’s weak defense, he has a strong chance to hit the over.

Kyle Kuzma (Wizards) – Points Total: 22.5
With Avdija sidelined, Kuzma will take on an even larger offensive role, making the over on his points prop a solid option.

Prediction & Best Bets

Spread: Pacers -4.5 → Given Washington’s defensive issues and Indiana’s playoff push, the Pacers should cover.
Total: Over 234.5 → Both teams play at a fast pace and struggle defensively, making this a prime spot for an over.
Player Prop: Tyrese Haliburton Over 10.5 assists → High assist potential against a struggling Wizards defense.

The Pacers have dominated this matchup all season, and there’s little reason to believe Washington will turn things around now. Expect Indiana to take care of business on the road with a high-scoring performance.

Final Score Prediction: Pacers 126, Wizards 115

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