Game Details:
Matchup: Cubs vs. Yankees
Date & Time: Friday, July 11, 2025 | 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Betting Line: Yankees -135 | Over/Under: 8.5
Key Storylines
Cross-League Clash with Playoff Implications
The Cubs and Yankees meet Friday night in an interleague showdown that could have playoff implications for both teams. The Yankees are entrenched in a tight AL East race, while the Cubs are fighting to stay within striking distance in the NL Central. Both teams are looking to build momentum as the season hits the dog days of July.
Cubs’ Bullpen Issues
Chicago enters the Bronx with a wobbly bullpen that has cost them multiple close games in recent weeks. Over the last 10 games, Cubs relievers have posted a 5.34 ERA, one of the worst in MLB during that span. With the explosive Yankees lineup, that could spell trouble late in the game.
Yankees Home Cooking
Yankees have been dominant at home, posting a 27-15 record at Yankee Stadium this season. The Bronx Bombers will look to exploit their comfortable surroundings against a Cubs team that is under .500 on the road in 2025 (19-23).
Injury Report
Cubs:
Out: Seiya Suzuki (oblique), Julian Merryweather (elbow)
Questionable: Christopher Morel (hamstring – day-to-day)
Yankees:
Out: Anthony Rizzo (hand), Jonathan Loáisiga (forearm)
Questionable: Giancarlo Stanton (quad – game-time decision)
Betting Trends
Against the Spread (ATS):
Cubs: 41-46 ATS this season
Yankees: 48-39 ATS this season
Over/Under Trends:
The total has gone over in 6 of the Cubs’ last 8 games
The total has gone under in 4 of the Yankees’ last 6 games at home
Home vs. Road:
Yankees are 27-15 at home
Cubs are 19-23 on the road
Player Props to Watch
Aaron Judge (Yankees) – Home Run Prop: +310
Judge has homered in 3 of his last 6 games and faces a struggling Cubs bullpen.
Dansby Swanson (Cubs) – Hits Total: 1.5
Swanson has quietly put together a strong stretch, going 11-for-28 over his last seven games. The over on his hits prop might be worth a look.
Prediction & Best Bets
Spread: Yankees -1.5 → Given Chicago’s bullpen struggles and Yankees’ home-field advantage, this feels like a safe pick.
Total: Over 8.5 → The Cubs offense can contribute, and the Yankees have plenty of firepower, especially if Judge and Stanton are both in the lineup.
Player Prop: Aaron Judge to hit a home run (+310) → With his recent form and favorable matchup, the value is there.
Look for the Yankees to take control of this one early and pull away late. If the Cubs can’t tighten up the bullpen, New York could turn this into a comfortable win under the Friday night lights in the Bronx.
Final Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Cubs 3